Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.271030 0.310975 0.353820 0.403079 0.458034 0.517338 0.586059
2026-01-25 0.207093 0.261309 0.324091 0.401683 0.494482 0.601367 0.733213
2026-02-01 0.161470 0.222969 0.299473 0.400461 0.528954 0.685573 0.889331
2026-02-08 0.127572 0.192054 0.277876 0.398264 0.560235 0.767798 1.050609
2026-02-15 0.101366 0.165880 0.257455 0.393396 0.585861 0.843827 1.209955
2026-02-22 0.084849 0.149990 0.248047 0.401172 0.627892 0.943793 1.408014
2026-03-01 0.069179 0.132118 0.232522 0.397207 0.651686 1.019435 1.577587
2026-03-08 0.057714 0.118661 0.221349 0.397612 0.680787 1.103635 1.764095
2026-03-15 0.047433 0.105055 0.207567 0.391532 0.698371 1.171077 1.929644
2026-03-22 0.042330 0.099936 0.207261 0.407154 0.751023 1.294419 2.185674
2026-03-29 0.037906 0.095211 0.206805 0.422077 0.803254 1.419949 2.451914
2026-04-05 0.032738 0.087821 0.200183 0.424963 0.834914 1.514174 2.674000
2026-04-12 0.027971 0.080383 0.192550 0.425415 0.862945 1.605371 2.898642
2026-04-19 0.023728 0.073166 0.184223 0.423448 0.886293 1.690117 3.117681
2026-04-26 0.020188 0.066796 0.176626 0.421866 0.909919 1.776500 3.343967
2026-05-03 0.017143 0.060913 0.169105 0.419385 0.931340 1.859998 3.569515
2026-05-10 0.014417 0.055145 0.160837 0.414188 0.946768 1.933407 3.781169
2026-05-17 0.012807 0.052219 0.158848 0.422243 0.988725 2.056685 4.085330
2026-05-24 0.010843 0.047583 0.151800 0.418062 1.005425 2.134315 4.312332
2026-05-31 0.009362 0.044077 0.147035 0.418460 1.031370 2.230313 4.576441
2026-06-07 0.007855 0.039945 0.139822 0.412095 1.042313 2.298158 4.792224
2026-06-14 0.007286 0.039164 0.141838 0.428399 1.103205 2.465243 5.197874
2026-06-21 0.006741 0.038310 0.143504 0.443972 1.163528 2.634090 5.613666